{"doi":"10.31234/osf.io/cqpuz","title":"Bistability and affect shift dynamics in the prediction of psychological well-being","abstract":"How affective experiences, such as feelings, emotions, and moods, fluctuate over time is relevant for understanding and predicting psychological well-being. Here, we present a novel approach to investigate affect dynamics grounded on the concept of multistability, a common behaviour of complex systems, characterised by abrupt shifts between two or more stable states. We analyse self-report measures in two Ecological Momentary Assessment studies from Spain (N=65) and Germany (N=56). Participants were asked to rate how they feel on a single bipolar visual analogue scale ranging from very bad to very good, six times a day over the course of 29 days in the Spanish study and five times a day during 21 days in the German study. We observe bistable behaviour in 65% of the Spanish and 46% of the German sample. Further, we introduce a range of metrics to quantify the frequency and magnitude of shifts between positive and negative affect, and identify the ratio of positive to negative affect shifts (P2N-ASR) as a robust predictor of psychological well-being. Our results suggest that affective bistability is a prevalent feature of affect dynamics, and highlight the potential of P2N-ASR as a valuable tool for predicting psychological well-being both in research and clinical settings.","journal":"PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints)","year":2023,"id":394705,"datarank":0.20794415416798362,"base_score":1.3862943611198906,"endowment":1.3862943611198906,"self_citation_contribution":0.20794415416798362,"citation_network_contribution":0.0,"self_endowment_contribution":0.20794415416798362,"citer_contribution":0.0,"corpus_percentile":null,"corpus_rank":null,"citation_count":3,"citer_count":0,"citers_with_citation_signal":0,"citers_with_endowment":0,"datacite_reuse_total":0,"is_dataset":false,"is_dataset_confidence":0.9586,"is_data_producer":false,"deposit_databanks":null,"is_oa":true,"file_count":0,"downloads":0,"has_version_chain":false,"published_date":"2023-01-01","fair_score":null,"fair_percentile":null,"algorithm_id":"datarank_citation_only_1hop_v6","ranking_scope":"data_only","authors":[{"id":1169242,"name":"Vasilis Dakos","orcid":"0000-0001-8862-718X","position":1,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169243,"name":"Daniel Sanabria","orcid":"0000-0002-4164-7607","position":2,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":994284,"name":"Saida Heshmati","orcid":"0000-0003-4002-128X","position":3,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169244,"name":"Marlon Westhoff","orcid":"0000-0003-0094-1794","position":4,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169245,"name":"Oresti Baños","orcid":"0000-0001-5434-4253","position":5,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169246,"name":"H. Pomares","orcid":"0000-0002-8528-828X","position":6,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":243270,"name":"Stefan G. Hofmann","orcid":"0000-0002-3548-9681","position":7,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169247,"name":"Pandelis Perakakis","orcid":"0000-0002-9130-3247","position":8,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1169241,"name":"Carmen Goicoechea","orcid":"0000-0002-1869-275X","position":0,"is_corresponding":true}],"reference_count":37,"raw_metadata":{"citation_network_status":"fetched"},"created_at":"2026-07-19T01:19:14.590635Z","pmid":null,"pmcid":null,"fwci":null,"citation_percentile":null,"influential_citations":0,"oa_status":null,"license":null,"views":0,"total_file_size_bytes":0,"version_count":0,"fair_f":null,"fair_a":null,"fair_i":null,"fair_r":null,"fair_zscore":null,"fair_rationale":null,"fair_model":null,"fair_agent_version":null,"fair_fulltext_source":null,"fair_has_llm":null,"fair_computed_at":null,"clinical_trials":[],"software_tools":[],"db_accessions":[],"linked_datasets":[],"topics":[]}