{"doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0301997","title":"Enhanced cervical cancer and HIV interventions reduce the disproportionate burden of cervical cancer cases among women living with HIV: A modeling analysis","abstract":"INTRODUCTION: Women living with HIV experience heightened risk of cervical cancer, and over 50% of cases in Southern Africa are attributed to HIV co-infection. Cervical cancer interventions tailored by HIV status delivered with HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) for treatment can decrease cancer incidence, but impact on HIV-related disparities remains understudied. METHODS: Using a dynamic model calibrated to KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, we projected HIV prevalence, cervical cancer incidence, and proportion of cancer cases among women living with HIV between 2021-2071. Relative to the status quo of moderate intervention coverage, we modeled three additive scenarios: 1) ART scale-up only; 2) expanded human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination, screening, and treatment; and 3) catch-up HPV vaccination and enhanced screening for women living with HIV. RESULTS: Under the status quo, HIV prevalence among women aged 15+ decreased from a median of 35% [Uncertainty Range (UR): 26-42%] in 2021 to 25% [19-34%] in 2071. The proportion of cervical cancer cases that were women living with HIV declined from 73% [63-86%] to 58% [47-74%], but incidence remained 4.3-fold [3.3-5.7] that of women without HIV. ART scale-up reduced HIV prevalence in 2071, but increased the incidence rate ratio to 5.2 [3.7-7.3]. Disparities remained after expanding cancer interventions for all women (incidence rate ratio: 4.8 [3.6-7.6]), while additional catch-up HPV vaccination and screening for women living with HIV decreased the incidence rate ratio to 2.7 [1.9-3.4] in 2071. CONCLUSIONS: Tailored cervical cancer interventions for women living with HIV can counteract rising cancer incidence incurred by extended life expectancy on ART and reduce disparate cancer burden.","journal":"PLoS ONE","year":2024,"id":442501,"datarank":0.0,"base_score":0.0,"endowment":0.0,"self_citation_contribution":0.0,"citation_network_contribution":0.0,"self_endowment_contribution":0.0,"citer_contribution":0.0,"corpus_percentile":null,"corpus_rank":null,"citation_count":8,"citer_count":0,"citers_with_citation_signal":0,"citers_with_endowment":0,"datacite_reuse_total":0,"is_dataset":false,"is_dataset_confidence":0.9491,"is_data_producer":false,"deposit_databanks":null,"is_oa":true,"file_count":0,"downloads":0,"has_version_chain":false,"published_date":"2024-01-01","fair_score":null,"fair_percentile":null,"algorithm_id":"datarank_citation_only_1hop_v6","ranking_scope":"data_only","authors":[{"id":315406,"name":"Ruanne V. Barnabas","orcid":"0000-0002-1793-6003","position":1,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":648761,"name":"Gui Liu","orcid":null,"position":2,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":459399,"name":"Thesla Palanee‐Phillips","orcid":"0000-0002-0052-5830","position":3,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":647639,"name":"Darcy W. Rao","orcid":"0000-0003-0058-8513","position":4,"is_corresponding":false},{"id":1256248,"name":"Cara J. Broshkevitch","orcid":"0000-0002-5627-8250","position":0,"is_corresponding":true}],"reference_count":26,"raw_metadata":null,"created_at":"2026-07-19T02:01:20.107161Z","pmid":"38781268","pmcid":null,"fwci":null,"citation_percentile":null,"influential_citations":0,"oa_status":null,"license":null,"views":0,"total_file_size_bytes":0,"version_count":0,"fair_f":null,"fair_a":null,"fair_i":null,"fair_r":null,"fair_zscore":null,"fair_rationale":null,"fair_model":null,"fair_agent_version":null,"fair_fulltext_source":null,"fair_has_llm":null,"fair_computed_at":null,"clinical_trials":[],"software_tools":[],"db_accessions":[],"linked_datasets":[],"topics":[]}